Cup Quarter-finals
Global 0-1
Ararat Yerevan vs Shirak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
59.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat Yerevan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ULI
1 - 0
ARA
64%
23%
13%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SHI
1 - 0
ARA
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
IMP
0 - 1
ARA
78%
16%
7%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
MIK
1 - 0
ARA
79%
15%
6%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ARA
0 - 1
SHI
17%
23%
60%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Shirak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
SHI
0 - 1
PYU
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SHI
1 - 0
ARA
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
BAN
2 - 2
SHI
37%
25%
37%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
SHI
2 - 0
ULI
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
PYU
1 - 2
SHI
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |