UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 3-4
Ararat Yerevan vs Shakhtyor Soligorsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat Yerevan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2007 |
SHA
4 - 1
ARA
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2007 |
ARA
1 - 0
SHI
68%
21%
12%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2007 |
KIL
0 - 4
ARA
26%
26%
48%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
ARA
1 - 0
GAN
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2007 |
ARA
2 - 0
ULI
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhtyor Soligorsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2007 |
SHA
1 - 2
VIT
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2007 |
SHA
4 - 1
ARA
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2007 |
FCS
0 - 2
SHA
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2007 |
SHA
3 - 4
BAT
39%
26%
34%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
MIN
0 - 0
SHA
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |