Ararat Yerevan vs Lernayin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
26%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
8º
6º
22
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat Yerevan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
NOA
2 - 1
ARA
45%
27%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 3
VAN
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 2
SHI
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 3
AVA
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 0
BKM
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lernayin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
LER
0 - 6
PYU
25%
27%
48%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
BAN
3 - 0
LER
55%
26%
20%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
LER
0 - 3
BKM
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
LER
1 - 3
ALA
30%
27%
43%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 0
LER
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |