Europa League Last 16
Global 2-2
Ararat Yerevan vs Kaiserslautern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
37.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat Yerevan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1972 |
ARA
4 - 2
GCZ
47%
22%
31%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1972 |
GCZ
1 - 3
ARA
68%
17%
15%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1972 |
ARA
1 - 0
EPA
90%
8%
3%
|
69 | 7 | 62 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1972 |
EPA
0 - 1
ARA
14%
22%
65%
|
68 | 7 | 61 | +1 |
Matches
Kaiserslautern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1972 |
KAI
3 - 1
BRE
54%
23%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1972 |
KAI
3 - 1
BYM
19%
25%
57%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1972 |
OFC
2 - 2
KAI
52%
23%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1972 |
KAI
0 - 1
FAB
70%
17%
13%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1972 |
KAI
2 - 2
RTV
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |