Cup Last 16
Global 6-1
Ararat Yerevan vs Sevan FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
47.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat Yerevan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
NOA
2 - 1
ARA
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
ARA
1 - 0
PYU
33%
25%
42%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2020 |
ARA
0 - 1
AVA
11%
19%
69%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2020 |
NOA
1 - 0
ARA
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
ARA
1 - 4
SHI
32%
26%
42%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Sevan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
ARA
1 - 4
JSF
22%
25%
53%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
JSF
3 - 0
SHI
84%
11%
5%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
PYU
1 - 3
JSF
12%
19%
69%
|
60 | 35 | 25 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2020 |
JSF
3 - 0
BAN
64%
19%
17%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2020 |
ARA
4 - 3
JSF
14%
21%
64%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | +1 |