Ararat Yerevan vs Ararat-Armenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
39%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
8º
6º
76
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat Yerevan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 0
BKM
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 1
ARA
51%
27%
23%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
PYU
2 - 0
ARA
52%
26%
21%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
BAN
2 - 1
ARA
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 0
LER
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
AVA
0 - 3
FCR
35%
25%
40%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
EMI
0 - 1
AVA
25%
24%
52%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
ZEN
1 - 1
AVA
79%
13%
8%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
URA
1 - 1
AVA
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 0
LER
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |