Ararat Yerevan vs Noah analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
8º
6º
32
8º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat Yerevan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2023 |
VAN
3 - 1
ARA
36%
28%
36%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
SHI
0 - 0
ARA
43%
28%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
AVA
2 - 1
ARA
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
ARA
2 - 4
ALA
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 2
PYU
32%
27%
41%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Noah
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2023 |
NOA
1 - 3
PYU
29%
27%
45%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 0
NOA
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
NOA
1 - 2
BKM
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
LER
0 - 2
NOA
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
ALA
3 - 0
NOA
55%
26%
19%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |