Europa League 1/32
Global 2-0
Ararat Yerevan vs EPA Larnaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.5%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.6%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9%
4-0
11.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
15%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.2%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8%
2.5%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat Yerevan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1972 |
EPA
0 - 1
ARA
14%
22%
65%
|
68 | 7 | 61 | 0 |
Matches
EPA Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1972 |
EPA
0 - 1
ARA
14%
22%
65%
|
7 | 68 | 61 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1970 |
MON
10 - 0
EPA
91%
6%
3%
|
7 | 86 | 79 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
EPA
0 - 6
MON
14%
18%
68%
|
8 | 86 | 78 | -1 |