Q. Europa League Ronda previa Final
Global 0-3
Ararat Yerevan vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
41.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat Yerevan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1994 |
CSK
3 - 0
ARA
87%
8%
5%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1975 |
WHU
3 - 1
ARA
86%
9%
5%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -8 |
| 22 Oct. 1975 |
ARA
1 - 1
WHU
37%
25%
39%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
ANO
1 - 1
ARA
46%
22%
32%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
ARA
9 - 0
ANO
63%
18%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1994 |
DOB
1 - 0
CSK
30%
26%
45%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1994 |
CSK
3 - 0
ARA
87%
8%
5%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1994 |
CSK
2 - 1
SHU
81%
12%
7%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1994 |
CSK
1 - 4
LSO
61%
21%
19%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1994 |
SSO
0 - 1
CSK
38%
27%
36%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |