Ararat Yerevan vs Alashkert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
58%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat Yerevan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
BAN
2 - 0
ARA
66%
21%
13%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
ARA
4 - 4
SHI
20%
25%
56%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2018 |
PYU
1 - 3
ARA
75%
17%
8%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
ARA
2 - 3
ALA
17%
22%
61%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
ARA
1 - 6
GAN
21%
27%
52%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Alashkert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
ALA
0 - 0
SUT
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
ALA
2 - 0
GAN
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
SUT
0 - 1
ALA
35%
25%
40%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
CEL
3 - 0
ALA
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
ALA
0 - 3
CEL
26%
24%
50%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |