Ararat Yerevan vs Alashkert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
56.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat Yerevan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
PYU
3 - 0
ARA
75%
17%
8%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ARA
0 - 1
SHI
23%
27%
51%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
PYU
2 - 1
ARA
74%
17%
8%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
ARA
0 - 1
GAN
30%
28%
43%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 1
BAN
32%
27%
42%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Alashkert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ALA
3 - 0
SHI
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
BAN
1 - 2
ALA
33%
27%
41%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ALA
0 - 0
PYU
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
GAN
1 - 2
ALA
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
ALA
4 - 1
ARA
73%
18%
9%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |