Ararat II vs West Armenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
62.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
BKM
3 - 1
ARA
71%
18%
12%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
ARA
1 - 0
ALA
40%
23%
36%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
ARA
0 - 2
NOV
25%
25%
51%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
ARA
1 - 2
ARA
65%
18%
17%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
ARA
3 - 0
SHI
65%
19%
16%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
West Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
WAR
3 - 1
ALA
79%
14%
7%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
WAR
3 - 3
ARA
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
WAR
3 - 0
SHI
85%
11%
4%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
JSF
1 - 3
WAR
41%
25%
34%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
WAR
8 - 0
PYU
83%
12%
6%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | -1 |