Ararat II vs Shirak II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
15.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2024 |
ARA
2 - 4
LER
25%
25%
51%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
MIK
0 - 0
ARA
30%
24%
46%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 3
BKM
28%
25%
48%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
ONO
2 - 2
ARA
13%
19%
68%
|
49 | 17 | 32 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 4
GAN
15%
21%
64%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Shirak II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2024 |
ALA
2 - 2
SHI
52%
23%
26%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
SHI
0 - 1
SYU
29%
26%
45%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
AND
0 - 0
SHI
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SHI
2 - 0
MIK
46%
23%
30%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SHI
1 - 0
NIK
82%
11%
7%
|
43 | 15 | 28 | 0 |