Ararat II vs Shirak II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
16.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
BAN
4 - 0
ARA
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
ARA
2 - 2
LER
33%
24%
43%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2020 |
WAR
3 - 0
ARA
76%
15%
9%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2020 |
ARA
2 - 0
SHI
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Jun. 2020 |
JSF
2 - 3
ARA
79%
14%
8%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Shirak II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
SHI
1 - 0
ARA
20%
21%
59%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
JSF
3 - 0
SHI
84%
11%
5%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2020 |
SHI
5 - 1
PYU
53%
21%
27%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
BAN
3 - 1
SHI
76%
15%
9%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2020 |
SHI
2 - 4
LER
23%
22%
54%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |