Ararat II vs Pyunik II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
24.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
4º
4º
42
3º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
4º
|
91% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
LAR
0 - 2
ARA
11%
17%
72%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
ARA
1 - 4
ARA
48%
24%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 2
WAR
32%
23%
45%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
MIK
0 - 3
ARA
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
GAN
2 - 2
ARA
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Pyunik II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
PYU
2 - 1
WAR
27%
23%
51%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
PYU
2 - 0
BAN
57%
21%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
MIK
0 - 1
PYU
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
PYU
1 - 1
GAN
25%
25%
51%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SHI
3 - 0
PYU
11%
17%
72%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | -1 |