Ararat II vs Noravank analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
50.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
ARA
1 - 2
ARA
65%
18%
17%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
ARA
3 - 0
SHI
65%
19%
16%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
BAN
4 - 0
ARA
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
ARA
2 - 2
LER
33%
24%
43%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2020 |
WAR
3 - 0
ARA
76%
15%
9%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Noravank
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
NOV
2 - 2
ALA
69%
20%
11%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
JSF
4 - 0
NOV
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
VAN
0 - 0
NOV
38%
22%
40%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 1
PYU
81%
14%
6%
|
63 | 34 | 29 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2020 |
BAN
2 - 1
NOV
18%
26%
57%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |