Ararat II vs Noravank analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
53.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2021 |
BKM
4 - 1
ARA
72%
17%
11%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
ARA
1 - 2
JSF
18%
21%
61%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
PYU
3 - 1
ARA
27%
22%
51%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
ARA
1 - 1
ARA
57%
21%
23%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
NOV
3 - 1
ARA
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Noravank
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 1
WAR
27%
26%
48%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
BKM
1 - 0
NOV
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 0
SHI
74%
17%
8%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
JSF
2 - 1
NOV
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
NOV
3 - 1
ARA
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |