Ararat II vs Mika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
17.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
BKM
3 - 1
ARA
61%
21%
17%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 2
ONO
87%
9%
4%
|
51 | 22 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
GAN
3 - 0
ARA
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ARA
3 - 1
PYU
42%
23%
35%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 2
ARA
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Mika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
MIK
0 - 0
ARA
32%
24%
44%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
ALA
2 - 1
MIK
30%
22%
48%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
MIK
0 - 7
SYU
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ECO
1 - 4
MIK
7%
11%
82%
|
47 | 8 | 39 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AND
3 - 0
MIK
8%
15%
77%
|
50 | 11 | 39 | -3 |