Ararat II vs Lernayin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
42.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2020 |
WAR
3 - 0
ARA
76%
15%
9%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2020 |
ARA
2 - 0
SHI
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Jun. 2020 |
JSF
2 - 3
ARA
79%
14%
8%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | +2 |
| 19 Jun. 2020 |
ARA
3 - 0
BAN
18%
19%
63%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +2 |
| 15 Jun. 2020 |
MAS
3 - 3
ARA
39%
23%
39%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lernayin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
LER
3 - 1
ALA
47%
25%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 1
LER
78%
15%
7%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
LER
3 - 1
ARA
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2020 |
SHI
2 - 4
LER
23%
22%
54%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
ARA
2 - 2
LER
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |