Ararat II vs Gandzasar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
63.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
PYU
2 - 0
ARA
42%
24%
34%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ARA
0 - 3
BAN
52%
22%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
ONO
0 - 0
ARA
13%
19%
69%
|
51 | 23 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
ARA
3 - 1
ARA
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
NIK
2 - 4
ARA
12%
18%
70%
|
49 | 13 | 36 | +1 |
Matches
Gandzasar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
GAN
2 - 0
ARA
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 2
GAN
9%
18%
73%
|
70 | 38 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
GAN
2 - 0
SYU
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
AND
0 - 2
GAN
14%
23%
63%
|
69 | 28 | 41 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
GAN
1 - 0
SHI
82%
13%
5%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |