Ararat II vs Gandzasar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
40.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
4º
4º
71
2º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
71 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
4º
|
91% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
BKM
1 - 0
ARA
43%
24%
33%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
ARA
3 - 0
SYU
71%
17%
12%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 2
ARA
9%
16%
75%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
SYU
1 - 3
ARA
29%
24%
48%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
ARA
2 - 1
SHI
86%
10%
4%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Gandzasar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
GAN
0 - 1
WAR
37%
25%
37%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
MIK
0 - 3
GAN
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
GAN
3 - 0
ARA
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
GAN
1 - 0
BKM
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2022 |
SYU
0 - 1
GAN
24%
25%
52%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | +1 |