Ararat II vs Urartu II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
21.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
4º
4º
43
2º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
4º
|
91% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
PYU
4 - 1
ARA
45%
23%
32%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
ARA
4 - 0
LAR
63%
20%
17%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
ARA
4 - 1
ARA
58%
22%
21%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
WAR
0 - 2
ARA
68%
18%
14%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
ARA
7 - 0
MIK
20%
25%
55%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | +3 |
Matches
Urartu II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
BAN
1 - 3
WAR
20%
20%
59%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
MIK
3 - 2
BAN
66%
21%
14%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
BAN
1 - 2
GAN
22%
25%
54%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
BKM
6 - 0
BAN
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
BAN
5 - 1
SYU
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +2 |