Ararat II vs Alashkert II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.9%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.6%
3.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
4º
4º
23
9º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
4º
|
91% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2023 |
SHI
1 - 1
ARA
18%
22%
60%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 7
TAU
88%
9%
4%
|
53 | 19 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 2
BAN
60%
20%
19%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
PYU
1 - 0
ARA
39%
24%
37%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
ARA
2 - 3
ARA
54%
22%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Alashkert II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2023 |
ALA
2 - 7
WAR
12%
16%
72%
|
32 | 63 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
MIK
3 - 2
ALA
81%
13%
6%
|
32 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 5
GAN
13%
21%
66%
|
32 | 64 | 32 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BKM
2 - 1
ALA
82%
12%
6%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
ALA
2 - 2
SYU
26%
23%
51%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +1 |