Ararat vs Vastseliina FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.4%
Win probability
3.57
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.3%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.1%
5.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 8
FCA
8%
13%
80%
|
26 | 8 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
FCE
0 - 6
FCA
8%
13%
79%
|
26 | 7 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
FCA
8 - 0
TAL
85%
10%
6%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
FCA
8 - 1
JKP
85%
10%
6%
|
25 | 6 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
FCA
0 - 9
TJK
13%
16%
72%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -3 |
Matches
Vastseliina FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
VFC
4 - 0
FCT
52%
20%
27%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
VFC
0 - 5
TRA
6%
12%
82%
|
10 | 60 | 50 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
TAL
5 - 1
VFC
24%
20%
56%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Jun. 2019 |
SNT
1 - 3
VFC
26%
20%
54%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
VFC
2 - 5
TFS
5%
9%
86%
|
12 | 48 | 36 | -1 |