Ararat vs TJK Legion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
23.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-70%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
FCE
3 - 1
FCA
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
FCA
0 - 3
TIN
19%
21%
60%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | -3 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
FCA
3 - 0
JKJ
55%
21%
24%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2014 |
TFS
6 - 0
FCA
88%
8%
4%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
FCA
1 - 5
SKA
22%
21%
58%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
TJK Legion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
TJK
2 - 4
EMM
31%
22%
46%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
TIN
8 - 1
TJK
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
TJK
5 - 1
MAA
20%
18%
61%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | +5 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
FLO
4 - 1
TJK
59%
19%
22%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
TJK
0 - 6
SKA
18%
19%
62%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -2 |