Ararat vs Tallinna Zapoos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
58%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
FCA
0 - 3
LEV
13%
15%
72%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
MER
3 - 1
FCA
92%
5%
3%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
FCA
1 - 4
NOO
16%
18%
66%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
TFC
7 - 1
FCA
73%
15%
13%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
FCA
1 - 3
PIR
55%
19%
26%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |