Ararat vs Tallinna Dünamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
13.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
PAR
4 - 3
FCA
51%
22%
27%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
FCA
3 - 2
PAR
51%
22%
27%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
TDU
1 - 2
FCA
38%
24%
38%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
FCA
2 - 2
EMM
34%
23%
42%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
FLO
1 - 3
FCA
22%
21%
56%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Tallinna Dünamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
TDU
2 - 2
TJK
34%
23%
43%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
TJK
5 - 1
TDU
69%
17%
14%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
TDU
1 - 2
FCA
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
JKJ
1 - 0
TDU
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
TDU
0 - 2
EMM
30%
22%
48%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -2 |