Ararat vs Nõmme Kalju II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
30.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+102%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2013 |
FCE
3 - 5
FCA
43%
24%
33%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
FCA
3 - 0
TJK
57%
21%
22%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2013 |
JKJ
1 - 2
FCA
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2013 |
FCP
1 - 6
FCA
18%
19%
63%
|
44 | 6 | 38 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
SKA
0 - 0
FCA
61%
20%
19%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nõmme Kalju II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
NOM
9 - 0
TDU
77%
15%
9%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2013 |
PAR
5 - 1
NOM
35%
23%
42%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -2 |
| 19 Jun. 2013 |
NOM
0 - 3
SKA
52%
22%
26%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
NOM
0 - 1
JOK
80%
13%
7%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
NOM
5 - 0
FLO
82%
12%
6%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | 0 |