Ararat vs FC Flora Tallin III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
6.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2013 |
NOM
0 - 3
FCA
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
EMM
1 - 0
FCA
66%
18%
16%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
FCA
3 - 0
TDU
69%
17%
14%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
PAR
4 - 3
FCA
51%
22%
27%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
FCA
3 - 2
PAR
51%
22%
27%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Flora Tallin III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
FLO
3 - 2
PAR
15%
18%
67%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
FCE
4 - 1
FLO
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
FLO
2 - 3
SKA
15%
19%
67%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
SKA
3 - 0
FLO
83%
12%
6%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
FLO
1 - 2
FCE
24%
22%
55%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | -1 |