Ararat vs Emmaste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
49.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SKA
3 - 1
FCA
64%
20%
17%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
FCA
1 - 2
TFS
15%
19%
66%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
JKJ
0 - 2
FCA
48%
22%
30%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
FCA
2 - 4
SKA
31%
23%
47%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
FCA
2 - 3
FCE
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Emmaste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
TFS
0 - 1
EMM
80%
13%
8%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
EMM
1 - 0
JKJ
78%
14%
8%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
FCE
0 - 3
EMM
30%
23%
46%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
EMM
4 - 3
TJK
85%
10%
5%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
FLO
0 - 0
EMM
19%
19%
63%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |