Ararat-Armenia II vs Mika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
50.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-56%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
3º
7º
5º
36
5º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
4º
|
91% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat-Armenia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
BAN
0 - 1
ARA
37%
24%
40%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
ARA
2 - 0
GAN
21%
25%
54%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
PYU
1 - 3
ARA
61%
20%
19%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 2
BKM
37%
25%
39%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
LAR
1 - 6
ARA
41%
24%
35%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Mika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MIK
1 - 4
BKM
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
SYU
0 - 1
MIK
16%
25%
59%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
MIK
4 - 2
ALA
74%
17%
8%
|
68 | 32 | 36 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
SHI
1 - 2
MIK
12%
22%
66%
|
68 | 31 | 37 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
MIK
3 - 2
BAN
66%
21%
14%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |