Ararat-Armenia II vs Mika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
50.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
3º
7º
5º
36
5º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
4º
|
91% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat-Armenia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
BAN
0 - 1
ARA
37%
24%
40%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
ARA
2 - 0
GAN
21%
25%
54%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
PYU
1 - 3
ARA
61%
20%
19%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 2
BKM
37%
25%
39%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
LAR
1 - 6
ARA
41%
24%
35%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Mika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MIK
1 - 4
BKM
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
SYU
0 - 1
MIK
16%
25%
59%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
MIK
4 - 2
ALA
74%
17%
8%
|
68 | 33 | 35 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
SHI
1 - 2
MIK
12%
22%
66%
|
68 | 32 | 36 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
MIK
3 - 2
BAN
66%
21%
14%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | -1 |