Ararat-Armenia II vs Gandzasar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
46%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
3º
7º
5º
71
2º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
71 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
4º
|
91% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat-Armenia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2023 |
PYU
0 - 3
ARA
47%
23%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 6
BKM
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 1
SYU
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
ARA
2 - 3
ARA
54%
22%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 1
ALA
86%
10%
4%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Gandzasar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2023 |
BKM
2 - 1
GAN
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
GAN
1 - 1
SYU
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 5
GAN
13%
21%
66%
|
63 | 31 | 32 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
GAN
2 - 1
SHI
77%
16%
7%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 2
GAN
23%
25%
52%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |