Ararat-Armenia II vs Gandzasar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
54.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
3º
7º
5º
71
2º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
71 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
4º
|
91% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat-Armenia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
PYU
1 - 3
ARA
61%
20%
19%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 2
BKM
37%
25%
39%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
LAR
1 - 6
ARA
41%
24%
35%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
ARA
2 - 0
SYU
42%
24%
34%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
ARA
4 - 1
ARA
58%
22%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Gandzasar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
BKM
1 - 1
GAN
31%
27%
41%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
GAN
2 - 0
SYU
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 4
GAN
15%
22%
63%
|
61 | 32 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
GAN
2 - 0
SHI
77%
16%
7%
|
61 | 32 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
BAN
1 - 2
GAN
22%
25%
54%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |