Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 1-1
Arapongas vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
55%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arapongas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ATP
2 - 1
ARA
77%
16%
7%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
COT
3 - 2
ARA
86%
11%
3%
|
52 | 81 | 29 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
TCW
2 - 1
ARA
41%
27%
33%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ARA
2 - 3
LON
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
ACP
0 - 2
ARA
37%
26%
38%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAO
80%
14%
6%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 2
MOG
52%
24%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 2
XVD
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 0
SAO
21%
23%
56%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
3 - 0
ITU
61%
21%
18%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |