Arapongas vs Rio Branco PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
34.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arapongas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
ARA
0 - 2
PRU
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ATP
3 - 0
ARA
82%
14%
4%
|
52 | 79 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
ARA
0 - 0
PAR
18%
24%
58%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
OPE
2 - 2
ARA
57%
24%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ARA
1 - 0
LON
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 1
CIA
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 1
RIO
69%
19%
11%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
RIO
2 - 1
TCW
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
COT
2 - 0
RIO
84%
12%
4%
|
49 | 78 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
JMA
2 - 2
RIO
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |