Arapongas vs Rio Branco PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arapongas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
NPR
0 - 1
ARA
23%
25%
52%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
ARA
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 0
PAR
26%
27%
48%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 0
SAO
21%
24%
55%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ATP
2 - 1
ARA
77%
16%
7%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
RIO
3 - 0
ACP
55%
23%
23%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
COT
6 - 0
RIO
87%
10%
3%
|
47 | 81 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
RIO
2 - 3
CIA
43%
25%
33%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
2 - 0
PAR
20%
25%
55%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
JMA
2 - 1
RIO
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |