Arapongas vs Rio Branco PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arapongas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
ATP
2 - 1
ARA
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 1
TCW
51%
24%
24%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
OPE
0 - 1
ARA
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
JMA
2 - 1
ARA
31%
25%
43%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 0
COT
11%
20%
69%
|
53 | 83 | 30 | +2 |
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
RIO
5 - 2
IRA
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
ACP
2 - 1
RIO
53%
23%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 2
COT
11%
20%
69%
|
45 | 82 | 37 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 2
ROM
43%
24%
33%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
OPE
4 - 0
RIO
54%
24%
23%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |