Arapongas vs Rio Branco PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arapongas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
ACP
0 - 1
ARA
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ARA
2 - 0
CCR
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
JMA
1 - 0
ARA
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ARA
1 - 1
COT
9%
17%
75%
|
50 | 78 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
IRA
1 - 0
ARA
56%
23%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 2
IRA
26%
24%
50%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 4
COT
11%
19%
70%
|
44 | 78 | 34 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
CIA
2 - 0
RIO
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 2
OPE
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
JMA
1 - 0
RIO
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |