Arapongas vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
58.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arapongas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
OPE
2 - 2
ARA
57%
24%
20%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ARA
1 - 0
LON
29%
26%
45%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
GRE
3 - 0
ARA
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CIA
2 - 0
ARA
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
ARA
0 - 0
COT
13%
21%
66%
|
54 | 80 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
PAR
3 - 0
PRU
82%
13%
5%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
OPE
1 - 3
PAR
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 1
JMA
66%
20%
13%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
COT
2 - 0
PAR
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 1
GRE
74%
16%
9%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | -1 |