Arapongas vs Operário PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arapongas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CIA
0 - 1
ARA
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ARA
0 - 0
BRA
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
MIR
4 - 1
ARA
50%
27%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 0
JUV
40%
28%
32%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
MET
2 - 1
ARA
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Operário PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
OPE
0 - 0
COT
12%
20%
68%
|
52 | 81 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
OPE
2 - 2
JMA
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
IRA
2 - 4
OPE
32%
25%
42%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
OPE
2 - 2
COT
12%
21%
68%
|
51 | 82 | 31 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
LON
0 - 1
OPE
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |