Arapongas vs Operário PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
39.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arapongas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
CIA
1 - 1
ARA
51%
24%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 2
ATP
9%
19%
72%
|
51 | 79 | 28 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ROM
1 - 1
ARA
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ARA
1 - 0
PAR
26%
24%
50%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 1
RIO
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Operário PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
OPE
2 - 0
CCR
63%
22%
16%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
COT
3 - 2
OPE
83%
12%
5%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
OPE
4 - 1
JMA
46%
25%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
OPE
2 - 1
IRA
35%
25%
39%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CIA
2 - 4
OPE
51%
25%
25%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +2 |