Arapongas vs Nacional PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
11%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arapongas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 2
ARA
69%
19%
13%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 1
ATP
15%
22%
63%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 1
COT
11%
20%
69%
|
53 | 81 | 28 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 0
TCW
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
LON
1 - 1
ARA
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
NPR
0 - 1
OPE
22%
24%
55%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
NPR
3 - 4
ACP
25%
25%
50%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
TCW
2 - 0
NPR
64%
22%
15%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
COT
2 - 0
NPR
89%
9%
2%
|
38 | 81 | 43 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
JMA
2 - 0
NPR
61%
22%
16%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |