Arapongas vs Mirassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
33.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arapongas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
BRA
0 - 0
ARA
30%
28%
42%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CIA
0 - 2
ARA
48%
25%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 3
RIO
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
ATP
2 - 1
ARA
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 1
TCW
51%
24%
24%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
MIR
4 - 2
POR
26%
24%
50%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
ITU
1 - 1
MIR
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
PAL
0 - 1
MIR
78%
16%
6%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
MIR
2 - 3
BRA
27%
24%
49%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
MIR
0 - 1
SAO
13%
21%
66%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |