Arapongas vs J. Malucelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arapongas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
OPE
2 - 3
ARA
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 3
CIA
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 0
ARA
35%
26%
40%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ARA
3 - 0
NPR
69%
20%
11%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 2
ARA
69%
19%
13%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
CIA
0 - 1
JMA
46%
26%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
JMA
3 - 1
ACP
51%
24%
26%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
TCW
1 - 1
JMA
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
JMA
0 - 2
LON
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
ATP
3 - 1
JMA
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |