Arapongas vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
66.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
14%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arapongas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
JMA
3 - 3
ARA
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2013 |
FFL
3 - 1
ARA
78%
15%
8%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 0
FFL
15%
22%
63%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ARA
2 - 1
RIO
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
NPR
0 - 1
ARA
23%
25%
52%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 1
COT
13%
20%
67%
|
79 | 49 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 1
COT
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
COT
2 - 1
BOT
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
SCI
0 - 0
COT
52%
25%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
COT
1 - 2
CRI
64%
21%
16%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |