Arapongas vs Cianorte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arapongas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 0
ARA
35%
26%
40%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ARA
3 - 0
NPR
69%
20%
11%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 2
ARA
69%
19%
13%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 1
ATP
15%
22%
63%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 1
COT
11%
20%
69%
|
53 | 81 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
Cianorte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
NPR
1 - 3
CIA
24%
25%
51%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CIA
1 - 0
PAR
20%
25%
55%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
TCW
4 - 0
CIA
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
CIA
3 - 1
RIO
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ACP
1 - 1
CIA
49%
24%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |