Arapongas vs AC Paranavaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arapongas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
JMA
2 - 1
ARA
35%
26%
40%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 1
OPE
44%
25%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CIA
0 - 1
ARA
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ARA
0 - 0
BRA
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
MIR
4 - 1
ARA
50%
27%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
AC Paranavaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ACP
1 - 1
OPE
37%
25%
39%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
COT
4 - 1
ACP
86%
10%
3%
|
48 | 81 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ACP
1 - 0
JMA
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ATP
4 - 0
ACP
79%
15%
7%
|
48 | 76 | 28 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ACP
1 - 1
ROM
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |