Arandina vs La Virgen del Camino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
1º
3º
1º
45
3º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arandina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
LEO
0 - 1
ACF
25%
24%
51%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ACF
4 - 0
STM
81%
13%
6%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SDA
1 - 1
ACF
30%
25%
45%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ACF
1 - 1
PAL
76%
16%
9%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
AVI
1 - 1
ACF
36%
25%
39%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
La Virgen del Camino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
LVC
1 - 1
AST
32%
26%
43%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SAL
3 - 0
LVC
61%
21%
17%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
LVC
1 - 0
NUM
54%
23%
23%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BEC
2 - 1
LVC
33%
26%
41%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CAB
2 - 0
LVC
24%
25%
50%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -3 |