Arandina vs UD Santa Marta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
5.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arandina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
CDB
0 - 1
ACF
16%
22%
62%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
NUC
0 - 1
ACF
47%
26%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
ACF
1 - 2
NUC
55%
25%
20%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
ACF
3 - 0
ZAR
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
ZAR
2 - 1
ACF
36%
28%
37%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
UD Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
STM
2 - 0
CAB
67%
19%
14%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
STM
0 - 2
SAL
14%
22%
65%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
STM
2 - 0
CDG
13%
22%
65%
|
19 | 48 | 29 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
STM
1 - 1
UNI
13%
21%
66%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
AVI
3 - 1
STM
71%
18%
11%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |