Arandina vs Somozas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
37.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arandina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
PON
1 - 0
ACF
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ACF
3 - 1
SPB
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
IZA
2 - 0
ACF
35%
28%
37%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ACF
2 - 1
PEÑ
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
UDL
1 - 2
ACF
62%
23%
16%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Somozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SOM
1 - 1
AST
49%
25%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
RAC
2 - 0
SOM
72%
20%
9%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
SOM
3 - 1
COX
52%
26%
23%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
RCF
2 - 0
SOM
66%
19%
14%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
SOM
0 - 0
COM
57%
24%
19%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |